NFL MVP Odds (As of October 23)
Russell Wilson: 4.40
Aaron Rodgers: 4.40
Lamar Jackson: 7.00
Deshaun Watson: 7.00
Patrick Mahomes: 10.00
Christian McCaffrey: 14.00
When the NFL season began in September, Russell Wilson was off the radar for the regular season MVP award, and the betting odds were certainly a reflection of that.
The odds for Wilson to win MVP were 24.00 at PlayNow.com when the Seahawks opened their 2019 season against the Cincinnati Bengals on Sept. 8, far removed from the odds of favourite and reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs.
We’re now entering the eighth week of the season and the MVP odds have shifted dramatically at PlayNow.com. There are numerous factors: Mahomes has been very good through seven games with 15 touchdown passes, just one interception and a completion rate of 65.1 per cent, which is just a shade off his mark of 66 per cent last season.
Mahomes, as previously stated, has been very good. He has not, however, been out of this world like he was a year ago. He threw a ridiculous 50 touchdowns last season and scored another two along the ground with 272 rushing yards, helping take his team to the AFC Championship game.
Also factor in that he recently suffered a dislocated kneecap, although there were reports this week that he’s back at practice.
His odds to win the NFL MVP have dropped to 10.00 at PlayNow.com.
Aaron Rodgers, Deshaun Watson and Lamar Jackson have all entered the MVP conversation and their odds at PlayNow.com have shifted accordingly.
Wilson, however, has vaulted up the board as the season has progressed. His odds to win the award are now 4.40 at PlayNow.com. They were 26.00 in late September but have dropped considerably since then, from 10.00 in early October to as low as 2.50 last Friday – before Seattle fell to Baltimore at home.
He has 15 touchdown passes and one interception – the same totals as Mahomes – with his only pick so far coming in Week 7 against Baltimore. He has, on occasions this season, flirted with a perfect passer rating and at age 30, he currently boasts a career best rating of 114.1.
Put it this way: Wilson is a Super Bowl winner. He played in two championship games with the Seahawks before the age of 30. And *this* is the best he’s looked at any point in his career, despite questions about the Seahawks’ group of receivers entering the season.
The Seahawks have a 5-2 record, which puts them second in the NFC West standings and in the thick of the NFC playoff race.
As of Tuesday, about 25.2 per cent of money wagered on the MVP market was on Mahomes to again claim the award. That is tops among players listed in that market, while the second highest amount of money wagered on the MVP is on Wilson to win at 10.1 per cent.
No one from the San Francisco 49ers – a Seahawks rival – is getting much attention – at least right now – for NFL MVP. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has odds of 30.00 for the award, which puts him 10th on the board.
That said, the 49ers have jumped to the top of the board when it comes to their odds of winning the NFC West.
When the season began, the 49ers had the third best odds to win the division – 4.80 at PlayNow.com. They’re now the favourites thanks to a 6-0 record, with odds of 1.70 to win the NFC West, while the Seahawks have the second best odds at 3.60.
About 71.5 per cent of money wagered on the NFC West market is on the 49ers, who were considerable underdogs before the season started. Just over 20 per cent of money wagered is on the Seahawks and 7.3 per cent on the L.A. Rams, who entered the year as the reigning NFC champs and the obvious favourites to win the division.
Friendly reminder: The Seahawks and 49ers meet for the first time this season on Nov. 11. It’s a Monday Night Football tilt that is likely to have a major impact on the NFC West – and, as a result, the betting odds at PlayNow.com.