World Series outright odds (As of July 12)
The Major League Baseball regular season schedule has resumed following the All-Star break, with the Los Angeles Dodgers currently holding the best World Series outright odds at PlayNow.com.
When it comes to money wagered on the World Series outright market, bettors seem mainly split between the top three favourites – the Dodgers, New York Yankees at odds of 4.40 and Houston Astros as odds of 4.80.
Just prior to the Home Run Derby – and the show that Toronto Blue Jays slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. would put on – the highest percentage of money staked was currently on the Yankees to win it all at 17.4 per cent, with the Dodgers not far off that pace at 16.2 per cent.
The Astros remain slightly lower, with 12.2 per cent of money wagered so far on them to win the World Series.
Despite three straight losses going into the All-Star break, the Dodgers appear to have the National League West Division all but officially locked up at this point. With a 60-32 record, the Dodgers led the second-place Arizona Diamondbacks by 13.5 games as of Friday morning, before their schedule resumed against the Boston Red Sox.
This weekend’s series between the Dodgers and Red Sox is a rematch of the 2018 World Series, in which L.A. fell short of a championship, losing the series in five games. The Dodgers entered the first game of this series as Money Line underdogs at Fenway Park.
Dodgers pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu had, as of Friday morning, the second best odds to win the National League Cy Young Award after posting a 10-2 record and 1.73 earned-run average in 109 innings pitched leading into the All-Star break. In terms of the Cy Young betting options, Ryu’s Dodgers teammate Walker Buehler had the third best odds heading into Friday’s game.
While the top three favourites in the World Series outright market have garnered attention from bettors throughout the season, could we see a few potential dark horse candidates take the spotlight?
The Atlanta Braves currently have the fourth best odds to win the World Series – 8.00 at PlayNow.com as of Friday – and they currently have a six-game lead on the Washington Nationals, winners in eight of their last 10 games, in the NL East.
Only 3.9 per cent of money wagered so far on the World Series is on the Braves.
Look back into the American League, and the Minnesota Twins have utilized the long ball with a Major League-leading 166 home runs to power their way into the Central Division lead, in what is essentially a two-team race at the moment.
The Twins have a 5.5-game lead on the Cleveland Indians – as these teams meet in a three-game series beginning Friday – and currently have World Series outright odds of 12.00 at PlayNow.com.
The Twins surged ahead in May with a 21-8 record that month, and bettors certainly took notice back then. The Twins were among the most bet on teams for the World Series during that specific month, as their outright odds at one point stood at 30.00. Those odds have since dropped down, from 30.00 down to 15.00 and now to 12.00 midway through July.
Bets on the Twins have slowed a little over the past six weeks, while 6.1 per cent of money is on them to win the World Series.
The trepidation is likely that the Twins, despite their power at the plate, will have to face either the Yankees or Astros – or perhaps both – in October to get out of the American League, and that could pose a rather daunting task.