Super Bowl outright odds (As of July 25)
New England Patriots: 7.50
Kansas City Chiefs: 8.50
New Orleans Saints: 9.50
Los Angeles Rams: 10.00
Philadelphia Eagles: 15.00
Cleveland Browns: 16.00
In a few days, Tom Brady will celebrate his 42nd birthday in the midst of his 20th training camp for the New England Patriots.
The latter is a remarkable feat, but one you probably won’t hear him brag about now that preparations for the upcoming season are well underway. There is business at hand and the Patriots have started training camp as the Super Bowl LIV favourites with odds of 7.50 at PlayNow.com, as of Friday.
Brady, it seems for now, continues to ignore Father Time.
Even though a slow start to last season may have brought its fair share of Patriots doubters, New England gained strength as the weeks progressed, and in the playoffs showed a superiority to any and all challengers, including the up-and-coming Kansas City Chiefs and then the Los Angeles Rams in the Super Bowl.
While the 2019 regular season is still several weeks away, bettors are so far backing the Patriots in the outright market. As of Thursday, about 19.4 per cent of money wagered on the 2020 Super Bowl market was on Brady and Bill Belichick to win again – what would be their seventh championship together.
And there is a strong chance the Patriots could be well on their way to a playoff position by the midway point of the season. They open the schedule in Week One against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football. That opponent will likely provide a challenge, but New England is currently a six-point favourite at PlayNow.com.
Beyond that, between Week Two to Week Seven, the Patriots get a healthy dose of the horribly inept AFC East Miami Dolphins and New York Jets, as well as the Washington Redskins and New York Giants. It isn’t until Week 8 when the difficulty of their schedule ramps up with a visit from the Cleveland Browns, a team that certainly isn’t short of talent but one that hasn’t proven itself yet, either.
Which team in the AFC would be able to knock the Patriots off their throne?
The Chiefs came close a year ago in a highly anticipated AFC Championship game with the Patriots, rallying for a frantic fourth-quarter comeback before losing in overtime.
Patrick Mahomes will again lead what is shaping up to still be a very potent Chiefs offence, and he’ll do so with the best odds right now to win NFL Regular Season MVP at 7.00 at PlayNow.com as of Friday.
The Chiefs have the second best Super Bowl outright odds at 8.50. They’ll look to build off their thrilling 2019 season – Mahomes, in his first year as a starting QB, threw for 50 touchdowns and 5,097 yards and earned regular season MVP honours – by emerging out of the AFC and earning a trip to the Super Bowl.
Currently, 12.97 per cent of money is on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl.
There are other potential challengers, too, like the Indianapolis Colts. Or, as we mentioned, the Cleveland Browns, perhaps?
The Browns have been awful for a long time. But with Baker Mayfield as their No. 1 overall pick last year and starting quarterback, and the acquisition of more skill on both sides of the ball, the Browns have gone from a laughing stock to having the sixth best odds to win the Super Bowl.
Their odds were 16.00 at PlayNow.com to win the Super Bowl, with the hype surrounding this team growing throughout the week as training camp got underway.
There is no denying the skill on offence: Mayfield, Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, Nick Chubb and, when he’s back from suspension, Kareem Hunt. They have some playmakers on defence, namely Denzel Ward and Myles Garrett. But it’s one thing to have skilled players, and another to have it all come together throughout the season to a) make the playoffs; and b) win the Super Bowl.
That will be the question: Can it all come together for the Browns?
It’s a big question. Right now, just over five per cent of money on the Super Bowl outright market is on the Browns to win it all.
In the NFC, the Seattle Seahawks enter training camp with outright odds of 28.00 at PlayNow.com. They made the playoffs a year ago, shaking off an ugly 0-2 start to eventually qualify in the NFC only to lose to Dallas in the first round.
The Seahawks could certainly challenge for a playoff spot again this year, but the days when they return to a No. 1 contender for the NFC may still be a year or two away with the young players they have assembled.
About 3.5 per cent of money wagered on the outright market is on the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl.